By admin       2018-09-17

Our thoughts and prayers go out to everyone but especially our fellow farmers and cotton producers in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia. The very latest projected path of the storm (as of this morning), takes it along the NC coast then inland across virtually all of SC. The storm is slow moving—meaning that it will dump a lot of rain and there will be high winds for several days. Accumulated rainfall from this storm is expected to total 12-18 inches or much more in some areas and accompanied by high winds. Most areas, even if not in the most heavily impacted area, are expected to receive totals of 5-12 inches of rainfall. It looks like Georgia may be fortunate to escape the brunt of any major impact on crop production: I am relieved to say that with the current path of the storm, impacts on most of Georgia are now expected to be minimal. Eastern counties will still experience some wind gusts from the storm which could cause isolated power outages, but they are expected to be less than 40 mph. Rainfall will be confined to the northeastern part of the state and should amount to less than two inches in all. The rest of the state should see no rain at all from the storm, which is not good for areas that are currently suffering from dry conditions. The southern half of Georgia should not experience any significant impacts from the storm and northern Georgia’s impacts will be small and limited in space and time. Pam Knox, UGA Agricultural Climatologist September 14, 2018 NC, SC, and VA are currently forecast to produce a total of 1.58 million bales of cotton this year. Recognizing the location of most cotton production in these states (this is 2017 county production; VA is not shown I assume to avoid disclosure of individual farms), it appears that SC cotton will be subject to heavy rainfall as well as NC. VA will receive less and east GA mostly 1-2 inches or less. As we experienced with Irma here in Georgia last year, the damage from sustained high wind can be significant—resulting not only in lost lint from open bolls but also twisted and lodged plants difficult to harvest. As of Sept 9, the NC crop was 43% open, SC 28%, and VA 37%.

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